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AGP Executive Report

Your go-to archive of top headlines, summarized for quick and easy reading.

Note: AI summary from news headlines; neutral sources weighted more to help reduce bias in the result. Feedback is welcome. Please let us know if you have any comments or suggestions about the AGP Executive Report.

Housing Finance Backpedal: Britain’s government has halted two major housing and vehicle loan pledges, citing fiscal strain and fuel volatility, leaving would-be buyers facing tougher conditions. Public Housing Pressure: Worcester’s public housing waitlist is about 36,000 people and turnover can take 10–20 days, as the authority stays near full occupancy while modernization limits availability. Local Construction, Local Disruption: Escanaba City Council approved $371,555 to finish the Municipal Dock restroom project, while Benson Memorial Library shifts summer events off-site during roof construction. Legal Fight Over New Homes: A Norfolk County councillor says a judicial review is being pursued over Great Yarmouth’s approval of a large Hopton housing scheme, arguing cumulative strain on roads, sewage, and health services. Interest Rates Support Demand: India’s real estate bodies welcomed the RBI’s repo rate hold at 5.25%, saying stability helps sustain housing demand. Construction Costs Climb (Cyprus): Cyprus building costs jumped 10% in two months, driven by energy prices and higher emissions allowance costs. Big Projects, Big Momentum: Morocco’s Grand Stade Hassan II is ~30% complete and targets end-2027 delivery, while Uganda has broken ground on Kidepo International Airport to spur tourism and jobs. Market Snapshot (Sharjah): Sharjah recorded Dhs3.1bn in May property transactions across 7,119 deals, with land and developed plots leading activity.

Student Housing Pressure: Binghamton City Council is reviewing a proposed 12-month moratorium aimed at slowing dorm-style and high-bedroom-ratio student housing after local rent and displacement concerns. Supportive Housing in Practice: Dax House at the University of Mount Saint Vincent is helping students facing housing insecurity with low-cost, community-based living. Affordable Housing Pipeline: Ottawa’s federal-municipal partnership targets up to 3,000 mixed-income affordable homes, while a separate report warns the Housing Accelerator Fund is penalizing cities unevenly when rules aren’t consistently kept. Policy & Zoning: Danville, Virginia updated zoning to comply with new state rules that limit how manufactured homes can be treated versus site-built homes; Illinois lawmakers also advanced a bill expanding county options to acquire and transfer property for affordable housing. Construction Disruptions & Accountability: Victoria, B.C. says Blanshard Street upgrades are nearing completion, but lane closures continue; in Penticton, a long-term care construction fire is now deemed arson, triggering a criminal investigation. Market & Risk: A logistics-focused report links housing affordability stress to weaker freight demand, and China is drafting rules to broaden housing provident fund use for property fees and renovations.

Construction Careers & Community Links: Lovell brought Newport Youth Academy to its Ringland Regeneration site in Newport, showing how a £47m scheme will deliver 158 homes and a relocated shopping centre. Public Safety & Housing Quality: Sri Lanka’s construction sector faces a slowdown as 40% of firms become inactive amid tax and VAT pressure, while Australia’s NT coroner found faulty wiring caused a 2023 fire death in public housing, raising wider safety concerns. Housing Delivery & Social Homes: Whangārei opened a $75m housing project for 320 residents, and Redditch began building 72 social homes at Clive Works, turning a derelict industrial site into housing. Policy & Regulation: Pasadena’s Rental Housing Board weighs late-fee waivers and landlord objection rights, and Kenya’s housing levy plan may be securitised, potentially locking deductions for years. Major Builds & Disruptions: Ashburton’s second bridge ramps up with roundabout works, while Faridabad’s Jewar airport flyover saw a crane collapse with fatalities and ongoing rescue efforts. Real Estate Finance & Tech: Integra selected SettleMint for real estate tokenisation in the UAE and US, and Qatar reported weekly real estate trading above QAR 256.6m. International Energy & Infrastructure: Russia and Uzbekistan launched construction of Uzbekistan’s first nuclear power plant.

Housing Approvals & Affordability: New York’s City Council budget push includes a $150 homeowner rebate, expanding help desks, and subsidies for heat pumps—aimed at keeping households stable as construction and costs bite. Local Development Watch: Forest Hills’ Community Board 6 conditionally approved a seven-story mixed-use plan with daycare and 33 apartments, including eight permanently income-restricted units. Crisis & Community Impact: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom faces a deep rental squeeze, with thousands on subsidized waitlists and long odds for year-round residents. Construction Disruption & Safety: In Indiana, alternating lane closures begin for bridge work in Columbia City; in Honolulu, rail construction vibrations have residents worried about building impacts. Major Projects & Finance: Goldman Sachs launched a tokenized real estate fund via GS DAP with Apex and Archax, bringing blockchain-native shares to a Luxembourg vehicle. Construction Accidents: A crane overturned at India’s Jewar airport flyover project, killing at least two workers; in Bay City, crews found a human skull at a construction site. Affordable Housing Funding: Wisconsin’s WHEDA announced $47.8M in competitive housing tax credits for 35 developments creating/preserving 2,128 affordable units. Data Centers vs Homes: Australia’s data centre construction boom is outpacing new home building, widening the supply gap.

Abu Dhabi Construction Kickoff: ORA Developers has started main works on Phase 1 of its BAYN project in Ghantoot, with a 31-month Phase 1 contract covering 614 homes plus infrastructure and landscaping, targeting delivery from Dec 2028. Dubai Development Pipeline: MAG Group says it will announce “MAG Square” soon, valuing the planned project at up to AED 2bn, as Dubai’s broader build-and-hand-over pace continues. UK Affordable Housing Debate: In Halvergate, Saffron Housing is seeking approval for 15 affordable homes, but residents have raised concerns about stigma and village impact ahead of a decision expected this month. US Housing & Public Safety Politics: Seattle Mayor Katie Wilson faced tough questions on affordability and public safety, including plans to activate CCTV citywide. Madrid Planning Reform: Madrid’s Assembly is set to approve urgent measures to boost protected public housing supply by speeding processing, raising buildability/density, and reducing administrative hurdles. Housing Fraud Crackdown: NECAC says it’s defending its Section 8 work amid a federal housing fraud push, stressing vouchers go directly to landlords and that fraud is relatively rare. Market Signals: New Zealand reports a 5.9% year-on-year drop in Q1 building work commencements, with non-residential declines outpacing residential. Health & Water Risk: Ahmedabad residents reported diarrhoea and vomiting after contaminated water from drainage issues entered a drinking pipeline, with officials citing 50 cases and 11 hospitalisations. Affordable Housing Finance: WHEDA awarded $47.5m in housing tax credits across 35 developments, supporting more than 2,100 affordable units in Wisconsin.

Affordable Housing Funding (US): Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers and WHEDA announced $47.8M in competitive Housing Tax Credits for 35 multifamily projects across 15 counties, targeting about 5,000 residents and 2,128 affordable units. Local Affordable Housing (US): Batavia, Illinois approved a $1M TIF incentive for a 72-unit affordable development, with income bands from 30% to 80% of AMI. Construction Delays & Traffic (US): Florida’s U.S. 41 work near the Edison Bridge has dragged on for over a year, with drivers frustrated as FDOT points to utilities, redesign and site issues. Road Infrastructure (US): New York’s Owego area starts a $53M I-86 reconstruction over three seasons, with lane and ramp closures. Construction Regulation (Central Asia): Tashkent unveiled stricter environmental and safety rules for about 1,700 active construction sites, including dust controls and site “passports.” Real Estate Capital Flows (India): Kotak Alts closed its 14th real estate fund at $1B, backed by ADIA and supported by NPS Korea, for residential and commercial growth in India. Market Signals (New Zealand/China): Auckland’s mega industrial build is highlighted by CBRE, while China’s core-city sales show signs of revival as one Shenzhen project sold out on launch day. Policy Watch (US): New York AG antitrust scrutiny reportedly targets Compass’s dominance after its Anywhere acquisition, raising questions for the brokerage market.

US Housing & Homelessness: Sacramento’s shift to a new homeless shelter system is leaving dozens of families in temporary housing unsure of their next step, with residents citing “mass chaos” as contracts end and voucher options change. Policy & Affordability: Australia’s housing debate heats up as Treasurer Jim Chalmers and Housing Minister Clare O’Neil defend Labor’s tax changes amid warnings that house prices could eventually settle lower; meanwhile, Housing Australia’s spending on consultants (nearly $13m) draws fresh criticism. Construction Costs & Delivery: New Zealand reports building costs rising more slowly than feared, helped by easing diesel prices, but key materials still cost more. Germany Rent Pressure: A study says about one in three German renter households is financially overstretched by housing costs, urging stronger rent protections. Project Starts & Infrastructure: Leeds begins a £46m “hometel” in the city centre; Denver approves a $4.5m purchase of an old state office building for affordable housing; Widnes kicks off a 72-home development. Design & Community: A new public sculpture will anchor a housing development in Swaffham, while Gloucestershire’s care leavers summit focuses on closing gaps in transition housing support. Global Real Estate Risks: China’s property service firms struggle to collect management fees as the broader real estate slump drags on.

U.S. Policy Shock: President Trump named Bill Pulte—head of FHFA and Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac—as Acting Director of National Intelligence, a major reshuffle that keeps him in housing finance roles. Construction Safety: The death toll from a May 24 building collapse in Angeles City, Philippines, climbed to 21 as rescue teams continue. Saudi Mega-Deal: Rikaz consortium won a SAR 2bn ($533m) contract for East Hindawiyah, a large mixed-use project near Al Masjid Al Haram under Saudi Vision 2030. Affordable Housing Push (US): Affirmed Housing and VTA broke ground on RISE, a 195-unit affordable project by Berryessa/North San José BART. Local Housing Planning (Canada): The Town of The Blue Mountains outlined an aggressive timeline for 112 workforce/rental units and a long-term care facility near a new firehall. Infrastructure & Costs (US): Oklahoma Turnpike Authority seeks $1.5bn in bonds for the ACCESS Oklahoma expansion and added eminent domain authority if talks fail. Transit-Oriented Development (US): The Berryessa BART-area project underscores the growing link between housing delivery and rail access. Urban Development & Permitting (US): New York approved SEQRA exemptions to speed reviews for certain housing and infrastructure projects, aiming to cut timelines and costs.

Housing Market Signals: Australia’s latest ABS data shows dwelling approvals fell 3.4% in April, with sharper weakness in NSW, as budget uncertainty and higher costs make developers more cautious. Cost Pressures: The ACT faces another hit as regulated water and sewer charges rise 6–7% from 1 July, adding to already-stressed housing delivery economics. Rent Controls: Abu Dhabi freezes rents for residential, commercial and industrial properties, setting renewals at 0% increase until further notice. Pipeline vs Population: Victoria’s housing approvals are slipping and industry warns the state can’t meet targets without more development-ready land and fewer barriers to getting projects moving. Affordable Housing & Social Policy: Northern Ireland’s audit office estimates social housing fraud cost the public purse about £8m in 2024/25, while a UK bill would let domestic abuse survivors keep homes by transferring joint tenancies to victims. Construction & Delivery: Nigeria’s construction sector is hit by a 20% cost increase in five months, and the federal Renewed Hope Housing Programme warns it will sanction contractors for delays or abandoned projects. Big Deals: Berkshire Hathaway plans to buy homebuilder Taylor Morrison for $6.8bn, signaling continued appetite for housing exposure. Project Progress: Prince Albert Victoria Hospital’s acute care tower in Saskatchewan reaches 50% completion, adding about 40% capacity. Global Build-to-Rent Watch: Business groups warn London’s build-to-rent pipeline has fallen nearly a third year-on-year and urge stronger direction in the next London Plan. Real Estate Finance: Connecticut’s CRPTF commits $400m to Artemis and Clarion real estate funds, targeting apartments and industrial among other sectors.

Offshore Wind Buildout: Mammoet is supporting marshalling and assembly of next-gen third-generation floating offshore wind turbines at Port-la-Nouvelle, France, as larger cranes and port assembly tackle tougher weather. Affordable Homebuying Push (US): Chicago launched the $21M HomeGrown Purchase Assistance Grant, offering eligible buyers up to $70,000 toward a home, aiming to help 300–400 households. Housing Supply & Demand (UK): Prospect Homes’ Abbey Vale in Widnes is selling three- and four-bedroom energy-efficient homes, with prices starting around £400,000. Market Signals (Canada): Calgary home sales fell 15.5% in May year-over-year as the benchmark price slipped to $570,500, with more buyer choice in new homes and rentals. Construction Spending (US): US construction spending rose 0.4% in April to $2.17T, with residential activity up 0.8%. Big Infrastructure Contract (US): Skanska Creamer Sanzari JV won Hudson Tunnel Project Package 3 for NJ Surface Alignment, adding 1.5 miles of rail infrastructure. Regulatory/Enforcement: California AG settled with MV Realty over alleged predatory “exclusive listing” schemes, requiring lien terminations and refunds. Fraud Probe (India): ED arrested real estate businessman Vikram Wadhwa in a ₹645 crore IDFC First Bank fraud case.

Mumbai Market Momentum: Mumbai logged 12,315 property registrations in May 2026 (BMC area), the highest May level in 14 years, up 7% year-on-year, with redevelopment driving re-registrations. Bengaluru Housing Deal: Puravankara signed a joint development agreement for an 11.23-acre site in Doddagubbi, North Bengaluru, targeting ~₹1,100 crore revenue and ~0.74 million sq ft of developable area. Policy Watch (Pakistan): Budget 2026-27 may cut property transaction withholding taxes for filers (e.g., purchase tax from 1.5% to 0.25% and sale tax from 4.5% to 1.5%), while non-filers are unlikely to get relief. Construction & Safety (India): Delhi police flagged alleged illegal construction at the Saket Metro-area building collapse in March; the court case now faces scrutiny over compliance and enforcement. Housing Delivery Pressure (South Africa): With the Reserve Bank raising rates to 7%, analysts warn higher financing costs can slow housing delivery and jobs, not just inflation. Urban Development (Saudi): RCMC awarded Makkah urban development sites worth SAR 13.3B across 2.7M sqm, aiming to upgrade housing, mobility and services. Dubai Real Estate: April transactions rebounded 20% month-on-month to AED 68.6B, led by off-plan activity and stronger mortgage volumes.

Housing Finance & Rates: A US-Iran ceasefire could quickly ease housing rate pressures by lowering mortgage costs and improving household savings, while Sun Belt markets like Austin are seeing buyer-friendlier pricing after corrections. Asia Market Pulse: Mumbai hit 12,315 property registrations in May—its strongest month in 14 years—signaling resilient demand. Construction Costs & Policy Pressure: Australia’s housing market stalled in May as higher rates, weak confidence, oil shocks, and proposed tax changes weigh on values and sales. Affordable Housing Delivery: Nashville broke ground on Eastpoint, pitching a large affordable, mixed-use neighborhood with parks, childcare, and retail. Urban Development & Power: India’s Manohar Lal reviewed Tripura’s power and urban plans, pushing smart metering, DISCOM reforms, and faster infrastructure delivery. Regulation vs. Risk: Delhi’s CM ordered probes and intensified crackdowns after a Saket building collapse tied to unauthorized construction. Global Luxury Benchmark: Monaco topped the world’s most expensive city list, with prime property averaging $38,800 per sq m. Construction Milestones: Malaysia marked a major topping-out milestone for YOTEL Kuala Lumpur, adding a mixed-use hospitality and medical center in the city core. Community Tensions: In Goa, protests escalated against a proposed mega housing project near Sankhali, with critics warning of environmental and infrastructure strain.

Housing Supply & Access: Iloilo City broke ground on two low-cost mid-rise projects—P640m Iloilo Residences rental housing and the Uswag 4PH condominium—aimed at working families, while Sault College is urging residents to list off-campus rooms as campus housing hits capacity. Affordability Under Pressure: Steelton’s women-and-children affordable housing plan is scaling back after renovation costs surged, though officials say affordability commitments remain. Construction Disruption & Infrastructure: Vermont and Kentucky both published week-ahead roadwork schedules, including I-89 paving and bridge rehab in Vermont and SR 23 pipe replacements in Indiana; Ohio starts a roundabout at OH 158/Coonpath Road June 1. Local Housing Governance: Harpswell residents formed an independent housing trust to pursue affordable options, and Kamloops council approved a 30-unit rental build for women and children fleeing domestic violence. Legal/Policy Crosscurrents: Nepal’s housing industry group demanded clearer rules, land pooling facilitation, and faster procedures; France moves to restrict housing assistance for many non-EU students without state scholarships. Safety & Site Risks: Sarasota investigators are searching after human bones were found at a construction site, and Chicago police warned after construction-site burglaries.

Housing Supply Pressure (UK): London’s private-sector build-out is stalling, with only 6,325 homes starting in the first three months of 2026 and about 22,000 homes sitting unsold or under construction, as new-build premiums and service charges deter buyers. Affordable Housing Launch (Philippines): Iloilo City broke ground on two low-cost projects—two seven-storey rental buildings (P640m) and a 4PH condominium complex—aimed at working families. Tenant Safety Rules (US): Pine Bluff City Council is set to consider stricter rental housing standards, including hot/cold water, electrical, HVAC, roofs, and sewer/plumbing requirements, plus enforcement fines. Supportive Housing Expansion (US): Reno Housing Authority broke ground on “Hope Landing,” a 15-unit permanent supportive development for chronically homeless residents with onsite services. Construction Disruption & Risk (US/India): Quezon City will close Cambridge Street for a major housing project through Dec 2027; meanwhile, a storm-linked bridge collapse in India’s Hamirpur killed six workers. Local Delivery Milestones (US): Beaverton opened Amity Orchards, a $80m mixed-income affordable complex, while Tampa’s Rome Yards tower hit a structural milestone for 234 affordable/workforce units.

Housing Supply Pressure: Queensland’s housing target is at risk as builders and banks clash over fixed-price contracts, with supply shocks adding $10,000–$15,000 (up to 10%) and builders delaying signings. Affordable Housing Groundbreaks: South L.A. faith partners broke ground on a 62-unit, 100% affordable St. Rest 85th Street Apartments project, aiming to stabilize renters facing rising costs. Local Housing Strategy: Montgomery County, Pa. released its first-ever Housing Blueprint, targeting preservation, new rentals, homeownership help, public-space upgrades, and homelessness reduction. Public Housing Safety: Boston’s public housing elevator failures are again in the spotlight after a disabled veteran said he slept outside when the elevator broke repeatedly. Construction Disruption & Safety: Vermont roadwork plans for June 1 include I-89 paving and bridge rehabilitation; Illinois also starts IL-75 bridge repairs with lane controls. Construction Accidents: A man charged after an I-74 crash that killed a construction worker was granted pretrial release in Champaign. Remediation for Mixed-Use: Pennsylvania approved $750,000 to remediate a 17-acre Carlisle brownfield site for future mixed-use development. Housing Finance Access: South Carolina raised income eligibility for SC Housing homebuyer assistance programs, expanding eligibility for bond and mortgage credit support.

Construction Safety Crisis (India): A storm-hit under-construction bridge over the Betwa River in Uttar Pradesh’s Hamirpur collapsed early Friday, killing at least six labourers and injuring three; rescue teams are clearing debris and searching for any trapped workers. Affordable Housing Policy (US): Easton, Pennsylvania’s council introduced tougher workforce housing rules for new multifamily projects using public funding or tax incentives, raising set-asides from 10% to 25% and tightening income thresholds by unit size. Housing Development Moves (UK): Wirral Council selected Countryside Properties to transform surplus town hall annex sites into affordable homes, with designs and planning applications next. Project Pipeline Disruption (Serbia): EPS suspended a tender for supervision of self-balancing solar power plants worth about EUR 5.5m after bids failed tender conditions. Market Watch (India): Ashiana Housing shares fell more than 5% despite higher Q4 revenue and profit, as investors focused on a shrinking EBITDA margin. Planning & Growth (US): North Huntsville, Alabama approved rezoning for an 1,800-home development near the Northern Bypass, drawing resident debate over growth and housing mix.

DBJ–HDFC Capital Deal: Japan’s Development Bank of Japan backs HDFC Capital’s H-DREAM affordable/mid-income real estate fund, signaling deeper cross-border capital flows into India’s housing push. UK Logistics Leasing: Sunrise Real Estate fully leases and upgrades a 62,500 m² Rugby logistics warehouse for ID Logistics UK, boosting energy performance (EPC D→A) and electrification—another value-add play in tight industrial markets. School Construction + AI: La Cañada Unified shares progress on its Paradise Canyon Elementary modernization, with major building systems upgrades and AI-focused classroom discussions tied to a 2028 completion timeline. Local Housing Data + Tenant Impact: Prince Edward County launches a broader rental housing survey to improve vacancy and policy planning, while Napier council faces backlash over residents given five months to leave three villages. Affordability Pressure: Rhode Island’s RIPEC report says housing spending is up but production still falls short, as lawmakers weigh another housing bond. Construction Disruption + Safety: I-86 work near Owego triggers detours; separate incidents in Illinois highlight ongoing work-zone risks. Tech + Finance M&A: Beeline Holdings plans to acquire MagicBlocks to expand AI and tokenized real estate finance capabilities. Protests vs Data Centers: Tucson protesters return to the Project Blue site, keeping pressure on a Sonoran Desert data center under construction.

Housing Finance Boost (Philippines): Pag-IBIG Fund raised its maximum housing loan ceiling to ₱10 million to widen access under the Expanded 4PH program, pairing higher limits with subsidized 3% rates for qualified socialized housing buyers. Construction & Disruption (UK/US): Mildenhall College Academy broke ground on a school extension due to complete in spring 2027, while in Lima, Ohio, a Google data-center-linked roundabout closure was pushed back after community feedback. Affordable Housing Pressure (Australia): Housing advocates welcomed federal tax reforms but warned social housing supply remains far too low, arguing the budget didn’t add enough new dwellings. Global Housing Crisis (UN): A UN report says up to 3.4 billion people lack adequate housing, with affordability stress rising as construction and green retrofits lag. Local Housing Delivery (South Africa): The human settlements minister cited progress on title deeds and stalled projects, but said delivery targets are still behind and pledged tougher action on underperforming contractors. Community Conflict & Safety (India): Mumbai police cancelled Eid-ul-Adha Qurbani permission inside a Goregaon housing society amid tensions, ordering removal of livestock from the premises. Project Risk (US/Canada): A massive fire hit a Penticton long-term care facility construction site; in Pine Island, Minnesota, a judge halted Google’s data center after a lawsuit challenged the environmental review’s detail.

Affordable Housing Funding: Alberta’s $323M joint federal-provincial push is set to back Whitecourt’s Wellspring Family Resource and Crisis Centre second-stage build, adding 12 affordable units. Housing Disputes in Courts: In Mumbai, a consumer panel ordered a developer and Mira Road housing society to pay a senior resident over 13 years of harassment; in another Mumbai case, the Bombay High Court granted interim relief to Borivali East residents in a DP road parking dispute. Construction & Safety: A building collapse in the Philippines’ Pampanga area has raised deaths to five with 16 still missing; in Portugal’s Silves, police are investigating a violent death found inside a town-centre construction site. Policy & Market Signals: New Mexico’s homelessness rose despite $500M spent, while mortgage rates staying above 6% are cooling homebuying in Warren, Ohio. Local Development Approvals: Lambton County in Canada is moving toward a $32.5M Cathcart Boulevard affordable housing project, and Norfolk (Ontario) gave final zoning approval for a Delhi housing plan. Construction Industry & Skills: Australia’s housing minister is backing modular “kit of parts” trials to speed builds, and a U.S. school district in Alton, Indiana, is nearing completion of a student-built house. Major Site Work: UFC has started erecting its Freedom 250 arena on the White House South Lawn, with construction underway for the June 14 event.

White House UFC build: Crews are erecting a temporary octagon cage on the White House South Lawn for the June 14 UFC event marking Trump’s 80th birthday and the 250th anniversary of Independence Day—complete with a red-white-blue stage and thousands of temporary seats, while the broader celebration calendar (including an IndyCar pass and National Mall fair) keeps stacking up. Housing affordability debate: Australia’s Housing Minister Clare O’Neil says Labor’s negative gearing and capital gains changes will have only a “modest” effect on prices, blaming the real driver on a mismatch between homes built and homes needed. Buyer behavior shift: In New Zealand, more first-home buyers are booking building inspections before purchase, after Auckland and Wellington stories highlight how hidden moisture, leaks, and ventilation problems can turn “move-in ready” homes into costly repairs. Construction momentum & costs: Sacramento’s Tower Bridge streetcar plan is back on track with a 2027 start target after earlier bid blowouts, while Maryland just secured a $4M+ settlement over construction runoff harming the Gunpowder River. Project pipeline: Smackover Lithium awarded an EPCC contract for the South West Arkansas lithium processing facility, and Thailand’s housing market shows early Q1 recovery but remains fragile under energy-cost pressure.

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